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Last Post 07 Jul 2018 09:17 AM by  Andrew Munoz
Forging the link between AI and First Principle
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Patrick Ng
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20 Mar 2018 10:53 AM
    "Safe AI", i.e., learning with machine beats machine learning alone?

    Recent headline news, 1) “Uber halts self-driving tests after death in Arizona” and 2) “Florida bridge collapse” are unfortunately one accident too many. First, our thoughts shall go to the families of the victims.

    Next is call for action on continuous learning within the context of AI and machine learning. Both events prompt us to take a closer look at how we learn from data. Over the coming months, please feel free to share your ideas (from geoscience perspective) in this blog. As a starting point, consider the following:

    Q1 if neural network (NN) algorithms were used in the Uber self-driving test image recognition, what is the resolution (number of pixels) at which training and testing were performed?

    (Concern - NN may come up with different answers on features using input of 2-ms vs 4ms seismic data. In contrast, most of us can enjoy a movie and follow the plot at 720p just as well as 4K ultra-HD TV. How about those 2Mb pictures we used to share on feature phones? We won’t confuse a dog with a person. For fun and motivation, https://www.wired.com/sto...oving-tough-to-fix/)


    Q2: if cracks were identified days before the FIU bridge collapse, could that be telltale sign of massive microcracks already coalescing around the tips and integrity of materials around those cracks were seriously compromised?

    For serious read, https://www.sciencedirect...pii/0020768388900315
    Microcrack coalescence and macroscopic crack growth initiation in brittle solids

    Food for thought - whether we are after deep or shallow learning (just marketing label based on the number of NN layers), forging a critical link between machine learning and first principle is the key to unlock AI potential safely.
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    Susan Nash
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    20 Mar 2018 11:18 AM
    Thank you, Patrick. These are great articles which bring up very interesting issues.
    Question: How much AI is being used in geosteering?
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    Andrew Munoz
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    07 Jul 2018 09:17 AM
    Good questions Patrick. I think that a difficult challenge is the continuos monitoring of events that would allow for automatic identification of those features. For instance, how would you monitor the microcrack initiation at FIU? I think one of the most promising things about machine learning the ability to build models that can track event changes from physical sensors in real-time that would normally be onerous for a human to recognize. For instance, installing a little box on the bridge that read strain gauges placed around the bridge continuously and sends out an alert to notify someone when the bridge is experiencing abnormal deflections. I think the biggest step is economically building the monitoring system that will allow us to continuously watch for hazards.

    One of the biggest datasets in oil and gas, continuous drilling data, is generally untapped. There is a wealth of information within the time-dependent drilling data beyond typical LWD gamma curves. This rock response data should be incorporated into a sophisticated geosteering model using AI that is able to predict geomechanical changes on the fly using appropriate inputs. I know some companies are currently trying to attack this challenge, but I have yet to be convinced any of them work.
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